Astra Internasional Result note - Cracks in 4Q - by Erwan Teguh
(ASII IJ / ASII.JK, UNDERPERFORM - Maintained, Rp11,300 - Tgt. Rp11,200, Automobiles and Parts)
ASII's FY08 net profit came in at Rp9.19tr, in line with our estimate, but about 3% higher than consensus. The largest profit contributors remained the auto business at 46.1%, followed by agribusiness at 21.4% and United Tractors at 16.1%. A good year but cracks have started to emerge in 4Q, when EBIT margins dropped sharply to 8.2%. We maintain Underperform and target price of Rp11,200 (sum of the parts). Our contrarian view is on premised on earnings coming in worse than expected, dragged down by the auto unit.
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