CIMB BBCA Upgrade it to Outperform from Neutral

Although we expect BCA’s NIM to ease, we believe its profit is unlikely to contract in 2009, as its 2007 experience suggested. The bank’s variable-rate government bonds have dropped significantly on maturity. Excessive provisioning coverage should also provide enough P/L buffer. A lower tax rate offers further upside potential. BCA continues to be an excellent deposit-taker. We upgrade it to Outperform from Neutral given its recent unwarranted share-price correction on fears of a NIM decline. Our DDM-based target price remains Rp3,425.