Bank Mandiri
Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) is now Arief’s top pick out of Indonesia. He raised PO 17% to Rp 2,800 and lifts 2009-10 forecast bottom line by 12-29%. BMRI has successfully revolutionized its operation, strengthened risk management, and cleaned up loan portfolio over the last 4 years and these structural changes are set to deliver sustainable improvement in earnings and RoE. As Indonesia implements easing monetary and expansionary fiscal policies, Arief see 2009-10 earnings benefits from higher NIM, better than anticipated loan growth, and resilient economic growth hence lower loan loss provisions. Stock trades on 6.3x EPS and 1.1x P/BV '09. Arief thinks the bank worth 1.7x BV when market realize fears about relaps restructured loan in BMRI is out of place.
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